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DENMARK - 3RD DIVISION
Naesby BK crestNBNAE
13:00Sat 24 Oct
HOLHolbaek B&I crestHB

Naesby BK vs Holbaek B&I

CLASS E
THE READ

Match details. 3rd Division, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time. It is played at ALPI Arena Naesby, Odense.

What's at stake. Naesby BK are 5th on 18 points after 12 games, 2 points behind FC Helsingor, 2 points clear of Hørsholm-Usserød. A win would take them above FC Helsingor. Holbaek B&I are 1st on 26 points after 12 games, 1 point clear of Brønshøj.

Form. Naesby BK have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W D. In this competition Naesby BK have gone D L W W D L. Holbaek B&I have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L W. In this competition Holbaek B&I have gone W D W L W L.

The numbers. Naesby BK score 2.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Holbaek B&I score two and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Naesby BK have won three, drawn two and lost five. Nine of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Naesby BK won two, one was drawn and Holbaek B&I won one. The last time they met, on 29 Aug 2026, it finished Naesby BK 2-3 Holbaek B&I.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 75%. Nine of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Holbaek B&I or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Naesby BK 2-1 Holbaek B&I (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NAE 4 of 5 (80%) · HOL 4 of 5 (80%)94.1%
Naesby BK: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Holbaek B&I: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 6 of 6 · Naesby BK: only games against sides at Holbaek B&I's level · Holbaek B&I: only games against sides at Naesby BK's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NAE 4 of 5 (80%) · HOL 4 of 5 (80%)79.6%
Naesby BK: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Holbaek B&I: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 6 of 6 · Naesby BK: only games against sides at Holbaek B&I's level · Holbaek B&I: only games against sides at Naesby BK's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.39
NAE 3 of 5 (60%) · HOL 4 of 5 (80%)56.1%
Naesby BK: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Holbaek B&I: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 6 · Naesby BK: only games against sides at Holbaek B&I's level · Holbaek B&I: only games against sides at Naesby BK's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.36
NAE 3 of 5 (60%) · HOL 3 of 5 (60%)59.6%
Naesby BK: both scored in 3 of 5 at home · Holbaek B&I: both scored in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · H2H 4 of 6 · Naesby BK: only games against sides at Holbaek B&I's level · Holbaek B&I: only games against sides at Naesby BK's level
NAESBY BK GOALS
Naesby BK Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NAE 4 of 5 (80%) · HOL 3 of 5 (60%)78.6%
Naesby BK scored in 4 of 5 at home · Holbaek B&I conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 5 of 6 · Naesby BK: only games against sides at Holbaek B&I's level · Holbaek B&I: only games against sides at Naesby BK's level
HOLBAEK B&I GOALS
Holbaek B&I Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NAE 4 of 5 (80%) · HOL 3 of 5 (60%)75.1%
Holbaek B&I scored in 4 of 5 away · Naesby BK conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · H2H 5 of 6 · Holbaek B&I: only games against sides at Naesby BK's level · Naesby BK: only games against sides at Holbaek B&I's level
HALVES
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NAE 2 of 5 (40%) · HOL 4 of 5 (80%)65.4%
Naesby BK: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · Holbaek B&I: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Naesby BK: only games against sides at Holbaek B&I's level · Holbaek B&I: only games against sides at Naesby BK's level
Left off the list: Holbaek B&I or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Holbaek B&I or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 8.8%
Naesby BK goals →
Holbaek B&I goals ↓
0-06%
1-08%
2-06%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-17%
1-112%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-25%
1-28%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-32%
1-34%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.6%
5-30.2%
0-40.8%
1-41%
2-41.0%
3-40.5%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.2%
1-50.4%
2-50.3%
3-50.1%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
NAESBY BKDWLWLDWWLD1.50 PPG
HOLBAEK B&IWWWWLWLWDW2.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
NAESBY BK HOMExHOLBAEK B&I AWAY
2.00SCORED A GAME2.601.40CONCEDED A GAME1.5020%CLEAN SHEETS30%33%FAILED TO SCORE8%
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
NAESBY BK 3 · 30%DRAW 2HOLBAEK B&I 5 · 50%
7 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
10 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
9 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
7 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2024-03-10Naesby BK 0 – 3 Holbaek B&I
2024-04-27Naesby BK 2 – 3 Holbaek B&I
2024-05-18Naesby BK 3 – 2 Holbaek B&I
2024-09-21Naesby BK 2 – 3 Holbaek B&I
2025-03-15Naesby BK 0 – 4 Holbaek B&I
2025-05-03Naesby BK 3 – 3 Holbaek B&I
2025-05-24Naesby BK 2 – 2 Holbaek B&I
2025-10-04Naesby BK 2 – 0 Holbaek B&I
TRENDS
Naesby BK failed to score in 33% of their games.
Holbaek B&I failed to score in 8% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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