CS Drobeta Turnu Severin vs CS Minerul Lupeni
Match details. Liga 3, Group 6 - 10. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. CS Drobeta Turnu Severin are 1st on 22 points after 9 games, 3 points clear of Minerul Lupeni. CS Minerul Lupeni are 2nd on 19 points after 9 games, 3 points behind CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin, 2 points clear of CSM Targu Jiu. A win would take them level on points with CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin.
Form. CS Drobeta Turnu Severin have won seven, drawn one and lost one of their last nine, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W. In this competition CS Drobeta Turnu Severin have gone W W W L W D. CS Minerul Lupeni have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L W.
The numbers. CS Drobeta Turnu Severin score three and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. CS Drobeta Turnu Severin average 12.7 shots (6.0 on target), 7.1 corners and 2.3 cards a game. CS Minerul Lupeni score 1.1 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and two games without a goal. CS Minerul Lupeni average 11.2 shots (3.0 on target), 5.5 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%.
The case against. CS Minerul Lupeni's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. CS Drobeta Turnu Severin to win. Their goals for and against make CS Drobeta Turnu Severin the likelier winners; CS Drobeta Turnu Severin are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CS Drobeta Turnu Severin.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: CS Drobeta Turnu Severin Over 0.5 Goals (CS Minerul Lupeni's own games don't back it (4 of 10)); CS Drobeta Turnu Severin to Win (the signs point different ways); CS Drobeta Turnu Severin Over 1.5 Goals (CS Minerul Lupeni's own games don't back it (2 of 10)). Predicted score: CS Drobeta Turnu Severin 1-0 CS Minerul Lupeni (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).