Match details. Serie D, Group A. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. Asd Millesimo have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L W. SSD Sanremese Calcio have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W L.
The numbers. Asd Millesimo score 1.9 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Asd Millesimo average 11.8 shots (6.2 on target), 5.5 corners and 0.8 cards a game. SSD Sanremese Calcio score 1.8 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. SSD Sanremese Calcio average 5.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
The case against. SSD Sanremese Calcio's record still gives them 38% to win.
The read. Asd Millesimo to win. Their goals for and against make Asd Millesimo the likelier winners; Asd Millesimo are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: SSD Sanremese Calcio or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Asd Millesimo); SSD Sanremese Calcio or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Asd Millesimo). Predicted score: Asd Millesimo 1-0 SSD Sanremese Calcio (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).