SMSSM

14:00Sat 24 Oct

FCD

SS Murata vs FC Domagnano

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. Campionato Sammarinese, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. SS Murata are 14th on 3 points after 5 games, level on points with Cailungo, 1 point clear of San Marino Academy. A win would take them above Cailungo. FC Domagnano are 9th on 6 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Fiorentino, 2 points clear of San Giovanni. A win would take them above Fiorentino.

Form. SS Murata have won one, drawn none and lost eight of their last nine league games, 0.3 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L L W L. FC Domagnano have won two, drawn none and lost three of their last five league games, 1.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L L W W.

The numbers. SS Murata score 0.9 and concede 3.2 a game over their last nine, with no clean sheets and five games without a goal. SS Murata average 2.0 cards a game. FC Domagnano score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game over their last five, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. FC Domagnano average 12.3 shots (3.8 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.7 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings SS Murata have won three, drawn four and lost three. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, two were drawn and FC Domagnano won two. The last time they met, on 22 Feb 2026, it finished SS Murata 0-5 FC Domagnano.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 83% against the records' 61%.

The read. No firm call: FC Domagnano are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. FC Domagnano are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Domagnano. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 78%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: SS Murata 1-2 FC Domagnano (8% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (FC Domagnano the favourite), an open game.

The league run. SS Murata: lost their last two league games (L L L W L). FC Domagnano: lost their last two league games (L L L W W).

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SSM 9 of 9 (100%) · FCD 5 of 5 (100%)92.7%

SS Murata: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Domagnano: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · H2H 5 of 6 · SS Murata: only games against sides at FC Domagnano's level · FC Domagnano: only games against sides at SS Murata's level

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SSM 9 of 9 (100%) · FCD 5 of 5 (100%)84.3%

SS Murata: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Domagnano: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · H2H 4 of 6 · SS Murata: only games against sides at FC Domagnano's level · FC Domagnano: only games against sides at SS Murata's level

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SSM 7 of 9 (78%) · FCD 5 of 5 (100%)59.1%

SS Murata: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Domagnano: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 83% · H2H 3 of 6 · SS Murata: only games against sides at FC Domagnano's level · FC Domagnano: only games against sides at SS Murata's level

FC DOMAGNANO GOALS

FC Domagnano Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCD 4 of 5 (80%) · SSM 9 of 9 (100%)74.3%

FC Domagnano scored in 4 of 5 away · SS Murata conceded in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · H2H 4 of 6 · FC Domagnano: only games against sides at SS Murata's level · SS Murata: only games against sides at FC Domagnano's level

HALVES

1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SSM 7 of 9 (78%) · FCD 5 of 5 (100%)81.9%

SS Murata: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Domagnano: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 83% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · SS Murata: only games against sides at FC Domagnano's level · FC Domagnano: only games against sides at SS Murata's level

Left off the list: FC Domagnano or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (65%) and the records (90%) are 25 points apart, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 8.3%

SS Murata goals →

FC Domagnano goals ↓

0-07%

1-08%

2-06%

3-03%

4-00.9%

5-00.2%

0-18%

1-113%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-26%

3-23%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-34%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-41.0%

1-41%

2-40.9%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.3%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

SS MURATALLLLLWLLLL0.30 PPG

FC DOMAGNANOWLWLWWWLLL1.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SS MURATA HOMExFC DOMAGNANO AWAY

0.80SCORED A GAME1.703.20CONCEDED A GAME1.600%CLEAN SHEETS10%80%FAILED TO SCORE40%0.00CORNERS A GAME5.002.00CARDS A GAME1.33

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.60POINTS A GAME1.20-1.80GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.20–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.25LEAGUE GAMES5

FC Domagnano: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

96%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

71%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

85%

OKAY · 85/90

SS MURATA OR DRAW

34%

NO · 80/85

FC DOMAGNANO OR DRAW

73%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

SS MURATAxFC DOMAGNANO

5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME1.402.60CONCEDED A GAME1.603.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.0100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%20%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

SS MURATA 3 · 30%DRAW 4FC DOMAGNANO 3 · 30%

3 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

6 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

5 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

5 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2023-01-15SS Murata 2 – 2 FC Domagnano

2023-04-23SS Murata 5 – 1 FC Domagnano

2023-09-28SS Murata 0 – 0 FC Domagnano

2023-10-01SS Murata 1 – 0 FC Domagnano

2023-10-25SS Murata 0 – 2 FC Domagnano

2024-01-27SS Murata 1 – 0 FC Domagnano

2024-09-21SS Murata 3 – 3 FC Domagnano

2025-01-26SS Murata 0 – 0 FC Domagnano

TRENDS

SS Murata have scored in 40% of their games.

FC Domagnano have scored in 80% of their games.

SS Murata kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

FC Domagnano kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards