Match details. Challenge League, Regular Season - 5. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Attard FC are 14th on 3 points after 4 games, 1 point behind St. Andrews, level on points with Zebbug Rangers. A win would take them above St. Andrews. St Andrews FC are 13th on 4 points after 4 games, level on points with Zurrieq, 1 point clear of Attard. A win would take them above Zurrieq.
Form. Attard FC have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L D L. St Andrews FC have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L D.
The numbers. Attard FC score 1.2 and concede two a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Attard FC average 8.7 shots (3.3 on target), 2.3 corners and 2.3 cards a game. St Andrews FC score 0.6 and concede two a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. St Andrews FC average 8.6 shots (3.5 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Attard FC have won none, drawn two and lost two. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. The last time they met, on 13 Apr 2024, it finished Attard FC 1-2 St Andrews FC.
Where it pulls both ways. Attard FC are the form side, but the meetings favour St Andrews FC: in the last four meetings, St Andrews FC won two and two were drawn.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.26, 82% on the records (Attard FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9; St Andrews FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Attard FC 2-1 St Andrews FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).