Match details. Slovenia Cup, Round of 32. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Rajko Štolfa, Sežana.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Tabor Sezana have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L. FC Koper have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L W.
The numbers. Tabor Sezana score 1.8 and concede 0.3 a game in their last six at home, with four clean sheets. Tabor Sezana average 10.6 shots (4.0 on target), 3.9 corners and 2.6 cards a game. FC Koper score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets. FC Koper average 9.9 shots (3.0 on target), 5.3 corners and 2.9 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Tabor Sezana have won none, drawn one and lost nine. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, FC Koper won four. The last time they met, on 19 Mar 2023, it finished Tabor Sezana 0-1 FC Koper: Tabor Sezana had 13 shots to 7, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. Tabor Sezana are the form side, but the meetings favour FC Koper: in the last ten meetings, FC Koper won nine and one was drawn.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 30%. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FC Koper or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Tabor Sezana 1-0 FC Koper (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).