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ITALY - SERIE D, GROUP H
AS Melfi 1929 crestAMASM
14:00Sat 24 Oct
USPUS Palmese 1914 crestUP

AS Melfi 1929 vs US Palmese 1914

CLASS E
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THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group H. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.

Form. AS Melfi 1929 have won one, drawn one and lost six of their last eight, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W D. US Palmese 1914 have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L L.

The numbers. AS Melfi 1929 score 0.5 and concede 1.5 a game over their last eight, with one clean sheet and six games without a goal. AS Melfi 1929 average 9.0 shots (4.0 on target), 8.3 corners and 2.0 cards a game. US Palmese 1914 score one and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. US Palmese 1914 average 7.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game.

The case against. AS Melfi 1929's record still gives them 35% to win.

The read. US Palmese 1914 to win. A tight game. US Palmese 1914 are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour US Palmese 1914. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: US Palmese 1914 or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); US Palmese 1914 or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: AS Melfi 1929 0-1 US Palmese 1914 (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
US Palmese 1914 or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ASM 5 of 9 (56%) · USP 6 of 7 (86%)70.6%
US Palmese 1914: the bet landed in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AS Melfi 1929: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · US Palmese 1914: only games against sides at AS Melfi 1929's level · AS Melfi 1929: only games against sides at US Palmese 1914's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ASM 7 of 7 (100%) · USP 7 of 9 (78%)94.7%
AS Melfi 1929: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · US Palmese 1914: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · AS Melfi 1929: only games against sides at US Palmese 1914's level · US Palmese 1914: only games against sides at AS Melfi 1929's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ASM 7 of 7 (100%) · USP 6 of 9 (67%)87%
AS Melfi 1929: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · US Palmese 1914: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · AS Melfi 1929: only games against sides at US Palmese 1914's level · US Palmese 1914: only games against sides at AS Melfi 1929's level
US PALMESE 1914 GOALS
US Palmese 1914 Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ASM 6 of 9 (67%) · USP 6 of 7 (86%)70.2%
US Palmese 1914 scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AS Melfi 1929 conceded in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · US Palmese 1914: only games against sides at AS Melfi 1929's level · AS Melfi 1929: only games against sides at US Palmese 1914's level
Left off the list: US Palmese 1914 or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); US Palmese 1914 or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–1 7.8%
AS Melfi 1929 goals →
US Palmese 1914 goals ↓
0-08%
1-09%
2-07%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-23%
4-20.9%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.6%
1-40.9%
2-40.7%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.2%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
AS MELFI 1929LLLDWLLL0.50 PPG
US PALMESE 1914LLLDWLLWLW1.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
AS MELFI 1929 HOMExUS PALMESE 1914 AWAY
0.50SCORED A GAME1.401.50CONCEDED A GAME1.9012%CLEAN SHEETS30%8.33CORNERS A GAME7.002.00CARDS A GAME1.00
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.40POINTS A GAME1.43+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.14–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.85LEAGUE GAMES7
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
41%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
37%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
89%
OKAY · 85/90
AS MELFI 1929 OR DRAW
71%
NO · 80/85
US PALMESE 1914 OR DRAW
30%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
AS MELFI 1929xUS PALMESE 1914
5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME1.800.60CONCEDED A GAME1.601.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.420%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%20%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
AS Melfi 1929 have scored in 25% of their games.
US Palmese 1914 have scored in 70% of their games.
AS Melfi 1929 kept a clean sheet in 12% of their games.
US Palmese 1914 kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards
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