Match details. Serie D, Group F. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. Giulianova Calcio have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W L. Polisportiva Pietralunghese have won two, drawn two and lost five of their last nine, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D L.
The numbers. Giulianova Calcio score 1.7 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Giulianova Calcio average 3.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Polisportiva Pietralunghese score 0.8 and concede 1.3 a game over their last nine, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Polisportiva Pietralunghese average 10.0 shots (3.7 on target), 4.7 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
The case against. Polisportiva Pietralunghese's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. Giulianova Calcio to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Giulianova Calcio the likelier winners; Giulianova Calcio are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Giulianova Calcio. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Giulianova Calcio or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Giulianova Calcio or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Giulianova Calcio 1-0 Polisportiva Pietralunghese (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).