Match details. Vysshaya Liga, Regular Season - 26. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time. It is played at Dzerzhinsk City Stadium, Dzyarzhynsk.
What's at stake. FK Arsenal Dzerzhinsk are 13th on 23 points after 25 games, 1 point behind Belshina, 2 points clear of Bate Borisov. A win would take them above Belshina. FC Dnepr Mogilev are 15th on 19 points after 25 games, 2 points behind Bate Borisov, 2 points clear of Naftan. A win would take them above Bate Borisov.
Form. FK Arsenal Dzerzhinsk have won none, drawn two and lost eight of their last ten, 0.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D D. In this competition FK Arsenal Dzerzhinsk have gone L L L D D L. FC Dnepr Mogilev have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D L. In this competition FC Dnepr Mogilev have gone W L L D L D.
The numbers. FK Arsenal Dzerzhinsk score 0.8 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. FK Arsenal Dzerzhinsk average 2.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 43% of the ball. FC Dnepr Mogilev score 1.2 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. FC Dnepr Mogilev average 5.1 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings FK Arsenal Dzerzhinsk have won five, drawn two and lost two. One of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, FK Arsenal Dzerzhinsk won two, one was drawn and FC Dnepr Mogilev won one. The last time they met, on 14 Jun 2026, it finished FK Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 1-0 FC Dnepr Mogilev.
Where it pulls both ways. FC Dnepr Mogilev are the form side, but the meetings favour FK Arsenal Dzerzhinsk: in the last nine meetings, FK Arsenal Dzerzhinsk won five, FC Dnepr Mogilev won two and two were drawn.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%. Eight of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.30, 76% on the records (FK Arsenal Dzerzhinsk: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; FC Dnepr Mogilev: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10). Backup: Under 1.5 first-half goals at 1.38. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: FK Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 1-1 FC Dnepr Mogilev (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).