Real Madrid W vs CD Tenerife
Match details. Primera Division Women. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. Real Madrid W have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W D. CD Tenerife have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L D.
The numbers. Real Madrid W score two and concede one a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Real Madrid W average 15.9 shots (6.6 on target), 7.0 corners and 1.7 cards a game. CD Tenerife score 1.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. CD Tenerife average 9.4 shots (3.7 on target), 3.5 corners and 2.6 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 72% against the records' 43%.
The read. No firm call: Real Madrid W are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Real Madrid W the likelier winners; Real Madrid W are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.16, 91% on the records (Real Madrid W: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home; CD Tenerife: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Leave: Real Madrid W Over 1.5 Goals (CD Tenerife's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Real Madrid W 2-1 CD Tenerife (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).