Match details. Primera Division Women. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time.
Form. Athletic Bilbao have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L D. Sevilla FC have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L W L.
The numbers. Athletic Bilbao score 2.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Athletic Bilbao average 13.5 shots (5.7 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.8 cards a game. Sevilla FC score 0.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Sevilla FC average 12.1 shots (4.4 on target), 4.1 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
The case against. Sevilla FC's record still gives them 23% to win.
The read. Athletic Bilbao to win. A tight game. Athletic Bilbao are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Athletic Bilbao. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%.
The bets. Best bet: Athletic Bilbao or Draw at 1.22, 77% on the records (Athletic Bilbao unbeaten in 5 of 6 at home; Sevilla FC failed to win 4 of 6 away). Leave: Athletic Bilbao or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Athletic Bilbao or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); 1X2 - 2UP: Athletic Bilbao (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Sevilla FC (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).