Auckland City FC vs Auckland United FC
Match details. National League. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 02:00 Lagos time.
Form. Auckland City FC have won nine, drawn one and lost none of their last ten, 2.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W. Auckland United FC have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D W.
The numbers. Auckland City FC score 2.4 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. Auckland United FC score 2.5 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets.
The case against. Auckland United FC's record still gives them 21% to win.
The read. Auckland City FC to win. An open game. Auckland City FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Auckland City FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 71%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.16, 79% on the records (Auckland City FC: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10; Auckland United FC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 away). Backup: Auckland City FC or Auckland United FC at 1.24. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Auckland City FC or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Auckland United FC or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Auckland City FC); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Auckland City FC 2-1 Auckland United FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).