Match details. Liga Nacional, Apertura - 11. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 02:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas, Juticalpa.
What's at stake. Olancho FC are 5th on 12 points after 10 games, 7 points behind CD Motagua, level on points with Lobos Upnfm. CD Estrella Roja are 7th on 12 points after 10 games, level on points with Lobos Upnfm, 1 point clear of Génesis. A win would take them above Lobos Upnfm.
Form. Olancho FC have won two, drawn six and lost two of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D D D. In this competition Olancho FC have gone L D D D D L. CD Estrella Roja have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D L. In this competition CD Estrella Roja have gone W L L D L D.
The numbers. Olancho FC score 0.8 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Olancho FC average 4.3 corners and 2.9 cards a game. CD Estrella Roja score 1.2 and concede two a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. CD Estrella Roja average 6.3 corners and 3.3 cards a game.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 2 Aug 2026, it finished Olancho FC 1-0 CD Estrella Roja.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 56% against the records' 30%.
The read. No firm call: Olancho FC are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Olancho FC the likelier winners; Olancho FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.46, 74% on the records (Olancho FC: under 3.5 goals in 10 of 10; CD Estrella Roja: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.17. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Olancho FC 1-1 CD Estrella Roja (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).