Match details. Liga 3, Group 3 - 10. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. CS Blejoi are 3rd on 14 points after 9 games, 6 points behind Tunari, level on points with Berca. ACS Viitorul Corbeanca are 11th on 7 points after 9 games, 2 points behind Râmnicu Sărat, 5 points clear of Păuleşti. A win would take them above Râmnicu Sărat.
Form. CS Blejoi have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W W. ACS Viitorul Corbeanca have won one, drawn four and lost four of their last nine, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D D. In this competition ACS Viitorul Corbeanca have gone D L L D D L.
The numbers. CS Blejoi score 2.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. CS Blejoi average 10.6 shots (3.6 on target), 5.4 corners and 1.8 cards a game. ACS Viitorul Corbeanca score 0.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. ACS Viitorul Corbeanca average 8.4 shots (3.9 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.6 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.
The case against. ACS Viitorul Corbeanca's record still gives them 28% to win.
The read. CS Blejoi to win. Their goals for and against make CS Blejoi the likelier winners; CS Blejoi are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CS Blejoi.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: CS Blejoi 2-1 ACS Viitorul Corbeanca (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).