Match details. Division Intermedia. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 23:00 Lagos time.
Form. Independiente Campo Grande have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D L. Paraguari AC have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W.
The numbers. Independiente Campo Grande score 1.2 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Independiente Campo Grande average 4.1 corners and 2.6 cards a game. Paraguari AC score 2.6 and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Paraguari AC average 4.4 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
The case against. Independiente Campo Grande's record still gives them 44% to win.
The read. Paraguari AC to win. An open game. Paraguari AC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Paraguari AC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 78%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Paraguari AC or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Paraguari AC or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Independiente Campo Grande 1-2 Paraguari AC (8% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Paraguari AC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
IND 5 of 5 (100%) · PAR 7 of 9 (78%)88.9%
Paraguari AC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · Independiente Campo Grande: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · Paraguari AC: only games against sides at Independiente Campo Grande's level · Independiente Campo Grande: only games against sides at Paraguari AC's level
Paraguari AC or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.47
IND 4 of 5 (80%) · PAR 4 of 5 (80%)71.9%
Paraguari AC scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 away · Independiente Campo Grande trailed or failed to win in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Paraguari AC: only games against sides at Independiente Campo Grande's level · Independiente Campo Grande: only games against sides at Paraguari AC's level
Paraguari AC 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
1.83
IND 4 of 5 (80%) · PAR 4 of 5 (80%)68.1%
Paraguari AC scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 4 of 5 away · Independiente Campo Grande trailed in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Paraguari AC: only games against sides at Independiente Campo Grande's level · Independiente Campo Grande: only games against sides at Paraguari AC's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
IND 8 of 9 (89%) · PAR 5 of 5 (100%)92.5%
Independiente Campo Grande: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Paraguari AC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · Independiente Campo Grande: only games against sides at Paraguari AC's level · Paraguari AC: only games against sides at Independiente Campo Grande's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.60
IND 4 of 9 (44%) · PAR 5 of 5 (100%)55.2%
Independiente Campo Grande: both scored in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Paraguari AC: both scored in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 57% · Independiente Campo Grande: only games against sides at Paraguari AC's level · Paraguari AC: only games against sides at Independiente Campo Grande's level
INDEPENDIENTE CAMPO GRANDE GOALS
Independiente Campo Grande Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
IND 7 of 9 (78%) · PAR 5 of 5 (100%)74%
Independiente Campo Grande scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Paraguari AC conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 74% · Independiente Campo Grande: only games against sides at Paraguari AC's level · Paraguari AC: only games against sides at Independiente Campo Grande's level
PARAGUARI AC GOALS
Paraguari AC Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.40
IND 5 of 5 (100%) · PAR 5 of 9 (56%)73.7%
Paraguari AC scored in 5 of 5 away · Independiente Campo Grande conceded in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · Paraguari AC: only games against sides at Independiente Campo Grande's level · Independiente Campo Grande: only games against sides at Paraguari AC's level
Left off the list: Paraguari AC or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Paraguari AC or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (65%) and the records (89%) are 24 points apart, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–28.2%
Independiente Campo… goals →
Paraguari AC goals ↓
0-08%
1-08%
2-06%
3-03%
4-00.9%
5-00.3%
0-18%
1-113%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-26%
1-28%
2-26%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-34%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.9%
1-41%
2-40.8%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
INDEPENDIENTE CAMPO GRANDELWWDLWWWDL1.70 PPG
PARAGUARI ACWWWLWWWWWL2.40 PPG
THE NUMBERS
INDEPENDIENTE CAMPO GRANDE HOMExPARAGUARI AC AWAY
1.55SCORED A GAME1.451.31CONCEDED A GAME1.2850%BOTH SCORED70%40%CLEAN SHEETS30%4.07CORNERS A GAME4.442.64CARDS A GAME2.40
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.31POINTS A GAME2.06+0.06GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.59+2.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.51.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.416LEAGUE GAMES17
Paraguari AC: the quality side - more points a game.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
77%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
62%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
65%
NO · 85/90
INDEPENDIENTE CAMPO GRANDE OR DRAW
62%
NO · 80/85
PARAGUARI AC OR DRAW
80%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (16 and 17 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
INDEPENDIENTE CAMPO GRANDExPARAGUARI AC
8GAMES80.75SCORED A GAME2.000.88CONCEDED A GAME1.751.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.850%OVER 1.5 GOALS88%25%OVER 2.5 GOALS75%50%BOTH SCORE75%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Independiente Campo Grande have scored in 80% of their games.
Paraguari AC have scored in 100% of their games.
Independiente Campo Grande kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Paraguari AC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards