Match details. Division Intermedia, Regular Season - 30. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 20:30 Lagos time.
Form. Guairena FC have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L. Carapegua have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W D.
The numbers. Guairena FC score 0.5 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and five games without a goal. Guairena FC average 4.2 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Carapegua score 1.5 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Carapegua average 3.1 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
The case against. Guairena FC's record still gives them 21% to win.
The read. Carapegua to win. A tight game. Carapegua are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Carapegua. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Carapegua or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); 1X2 - 2UP: Carapegua (the signs point different ways); Carapegua 1UP (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Guairena FC 0-1 Carapegua (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Carapegua or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.31
GUA 4 of 5 (80%) · CAR 5 of 7 (71%)83.8%
Carapegua scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Guairena FC trailed or failed to win in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Carapegua: only games against sides at Guairena FC's level · Guairena FC: only games against sides at Carapegua's level
Carapegua or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GUA 7 of 10 (70%) · CAR 9 of 9 (100%)80.6%
Carapegua: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Guairena FC: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Carapegua: only games against sides at Guairena FC's level · Guairena FC: only games against sides at Carapegua's level
Double Chance: Draw or CarapeguaLEANPAGE ONLY
1.32
GUA 7 of 10 (70%) · CAR 8 of 9 (89%)65.8%
Carapegua unbeaten in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Guairena FC failed to win 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Carapegua: only games against sides at Guairena FC's level · Guairena FC: only games against sides at Carapegua's level
Carapegua (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.55
GUA 5 of 8 (62%) · CAR 7 of 8 (88%)55.7%
Carapegua won 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Guairena FC lost 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 75% · Carapegua: only games against sides at Guairena FC's level · Guairena FC: only games against sides at Carapegua's level · won 7, refunded 0, lost 1
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GUA 9 of 9 (100%) · CAR 9 of 10 (90%)96%
Guairena FC: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Carapegua: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Guairena FC: only games against sides at Carapegua's level · Carapegua: only games against sides at Guairena FC's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GUA 9 of 9 (100%) · CAR 8 of 10 (80%)89.8%
Guairena FC: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Carapegua: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Guairena FC: only games against sides at Carapegua's level · Carapegua: only games against sides at Guairena FC's level
CARAPEGUA GOALS
Carapegua Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GUA 9 of 10 (90%) · CAR 8 of 9 (89%)71.5%
Carapegua scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Guairena FC conceded in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · Carapegua: only games against sides at Guairena FC's level · Guairena FC: only games against sides at Carapegua's level
Left off the list: Carapegua or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); 1X2 - 2UP: Carapegua (the numbers (42%) and the records (66%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Carapegua 1UP (the numbers (56%) and the records (77%) are 21 points apart, and nothing settles it); Carapegua or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–19.8%
Guairena FC goals →
Carapegua goals ↓
0-08%
1-08%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.7%
5-00.2%
0-110%
1-113%
2-18%
3-13%
4-10.9%
5-10.2%
0-27%
1-29%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.6%
5-20.1%
0-33%
1-34%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-41%
2-40.8%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.3%
1-50.4%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
GUAIRENA FCLWLLLDLLLL0.40 PPG
CARAPEGUALWDWDWWLWL1.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
GUAIRENA FC HOMExCARAPEGUA AWAY
0.79SCORED A GAME1.281.31CONCEDED A GAME1.4840%BOTH SCORED60%10%CLEAN SHEETS40%4.22CORNERS A GAME3.142.28CARDS A GAME2.52
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
GUAIRENA FC 3:0 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.56POINTS A GAME2.17-0.94GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.67–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.00.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.016LEAGUE GAMES6
Carapegua: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
CARAPEGUA 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
49%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
27%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
97%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
GUAIRENA FC OR DRAW
13%
NO · 80/85
CARAPEGUA OR DRAW
88%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (16 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
GUAIRENA FCxCARAPEGUA
5GAMES50.40SCORED A GAME1.401.20CONCEDED A GAME0.801.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.260%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%0%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%20%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Guairena FC have scored in 50% of their games.
Carapegua have scored in 90% of their games.
Guairena FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Carapegua kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards