Match details. Erovnuli Liga. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. FC Spaeri have won none, drawn four and lost six of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L D. FC Gagra have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L D.
The numbers. FC Spaeri score 1.8 and concede 2.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. FC Spaeri average 5.0 corners and 2.1 cards a game. FC Gagra score 0.6 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. FC Gagra average 4.5 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%.
The case against. FC Gagra's record still gives them 36% to win.
The read. FC Spaeri to win. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (FC Spaeri are a clear winner, no Unders); FC Gagra Under 1.5 goals (FC Spaeri's own games don't back it (1 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (FC Spaeri are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: FC Spaeri 1-0 FC Gagra (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).