Match details. National League, Championship Group - 5. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 07:15 Lagos time. It is played at Ferrymead Park, Christchurch.
Form. Ferrymead Bays have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D W. Cashmere Technical have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W.
The numbers. Ferrymead Bays score 2.5 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. Cashmere Technical score 4.6 and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 88%.
The case against. Ferrymead Bays's record still gives them 35% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. Cashmere Technical to win. An open game. Cashmere Technical are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Cashmere Technical. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 88%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Cashmere Technical or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Under 5.5 Goals (Cashmere Technical are a clear winner, no Unders); Cashmere Technical Over 0.5 Goals (Ferrymead Bays's own games don't back it (3 of 6)). Predicted score: Ferrymead Bays 1-2 Cashmere Technical (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).