Barra FC SC vs Santa Catarina SC
Match details. Copa Santa Catarina, Group Stage - 8. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 23:00 Lagos time.
Form. Barra FC SC have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D D. Santa Catarina SC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W D.
The numbers. Barra FC SC score 2.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Barra FC SC average 9.2 shots (3.5 on target), 6.3 corners and 3.3 cards a game. Santa Catarina SC score 1.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Santa Catarina SC average 9.0 shots (3.4 on target), 5.3 corners and 3.1 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last three meetings Barra FC SC have won one, drawn two and lost none. One of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 7 Feb 2026, it finished Barra FC SC 1-0 Santa Catarina SC.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%; two of the last three meetings went under 2.5.
The read. A draw. Little separates them, and both sides draw often.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Barra FC SC 1-1 Santa Catarina SC (11% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Barra FC SC the favourite), goals in between.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).