STST

20:15Fri 23 Oct

SP Tre Penne vs SP Tre Fiori

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. Campionato Sammarinese, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 20:15 Lagos time.

What's at stake. SP Tre Penne are 2nd on 15 points after 5 games, level on points with Folgore, 2 points clear of Virtus. A win would take them above Folgore. SP Tre Fiori are 4th on 12 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Virtus, 2 points clear of Cosmos. A win would take them above Virtus.

Form. SP Tre Penne have won five, drawn none and lost none of their last five league games, 3.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W W W W. SP Tre Fiori have won four, drawn none and lost one of their last five league games, 2.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L W W W.

The numbers. SP Tre Penne score 2.2 and concede 0.4 a game over their last five, with four clean sheets. SP Tre Penne average 10.9 shots (3.6 on target), 5.3 corners and 3.4 cards a game. SP Tre Fiori score three and concede one a game over their last five, with three clean sheets. SP Tre Fiori average 11.0 shots (4.4 on target), 2.3 corners and 2.7 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings SP Tre Penne have won five, drawn two and lost three. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, SP Tre Penne won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 22 Feb 2026, it finished SP Tre Penne 2-0 SP Tre Fiori.

The case against. SP Tre Fiori's record still gives them 38% to win.

The read. SP Tre Penne to win. SP Tre Penne are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour SP Tre Penne.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: SP Tre Penne 1-0 SP Tre Fiori (10% chance).

The agreed story. SP Tre Penne or the draw, goals in between.

The league run. SP Tre Penne: unbeaten in their last five league games (W W W W W). SP Tre Fiori: one defeat in their last five league games (W L W W W).

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

SP Tre Penne or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY

no price yet

ST 4 of 5 (80%) · ST 5 of 6 (83%)79.3%

SP Tre Penne scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · SP Tre Fiori trailed or failed to win in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · SP Tre Penne: only games against sides at SP Tre Fiori's level

SP Tre Penne or Both Teams ScoreLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ST 7 of 9 (78%) · ST 2 of 5 (40%)66%

SP Tre Penne: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · SP Tre Fiori: the bet landed in 2 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 59% · H2H 5 of 6 · SP Tre Penne: only games against sides at SP Tre Fiori's level · SP Tre Fiori: only games against sides at SP Tre Penne's level

SP Tre Penne (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY

1.61

ST 6 of 7 (86%) · ST 1 of 5 (20%)62.1%

SP Tre Penne won 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · SP Tre Fiori lost 1 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 53% · H2H 3 of 4 · SP Tre Penne: only games against sides at SP Tre Fiori's level · SP Tre Fiori: only games against sides at SP Tre Penne's level · won 6, refunded 0, lost 4

SP Tre Penne or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ST 6 of 9 (67%) · ST 4 of 5 (80%)53.7%

SP Tre Penne: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · SP Tre Fiori: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · H2H 4 of 6 · SP Tre Penne: only games against sides at SP Tre Fiori's level · SP Tre Fiori: only games against sides at SP Tre Penne's level

SP Tre Penne 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ST 3 of 5 (60%) · ST 3 of 6 (50%)37.7%

SP Tre Penne scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · SP Tre Fiori trailed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · SP Tre Penne: only games against sides at SP Tre Fiori's level

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ST 8 of 9 (89%) · ST 5 of 5 (100%)92.5%

SP Tre Penne: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · SP Tre Fiori: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 5 of 6 · SP Tre Penne: only games against sides at SP Tre Fiori's level · SP Tre Fiori: only games against sides at SP Tre Penne's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ST 8 of 9 (89%) · ST 3 of 5 (60%)81.2%

SP Tre Penne: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · SP Tre Fiori: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · H2H 6 of 6 · SP Tre Penne: only games against sides at SP Tre Fiori's level · SP Tre Fiori: only games against sides at SP Tre Penne's level

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ST 7 of 9 (78%) · ST 4 of 5 (80%)62.5%

SP Tre Penne: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · SP Tre Fiori: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 3 of 6 · SP Tre Penne: only games against sides at SP Tre Fiori's level · SP Tre Fiori: only games against sides at SP Tre Penne's level

HALVES

1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ST 7 of 9 (78%) · ST 4 of 5 (80%)71.7%

SP Tre Penne: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · SP Tre Fiori: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 3 of 6 · on half-time scores · SP Tre Penne: only games against sides at SP Tre Fiori's level · SP Tre Fiori: only games against sides at SP Tre Penne's level

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ST 5 of 6 (83%) · ST 5 of 7 (71%)77.4%

SP Tre Penne's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · SP Tre Fiori's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · SP Tre Penne: only games against sides at SP Tre Fiori's level

Left off the list: SP Tre Penne or Draw & Over 1.5 (the numbers (54%) and the records (45%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); SP Tre Penne Over 0.5 Goals (SP Tre Fiori's own games don't back it (2 of 5))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 9.7%

SP Tre Penne goals →

SP Tre Fiori goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-08%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.5%

1-40.8%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

SP TRE PENNEDDLWWWWWWW2.30 PPG

SP TRE FIORILLLDWWWWLW1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SP TRE PENNE HOMExSP TRE FIORI AWAY

1.70SCORED A GAME2.000.60CONCEDED A GAME1.8050%CLEAN SHEETS40%0%FAILED TO SCORE0%5.29CORNERS A GAME2.293.43CARDS A GAME2.71

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

3.00POINTS A GAME2.40+1.80GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+2.00–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–3.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.45LEAGUE GAMES5

SP Tre Penne: the quality side - more points a game.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

92%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

50%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

69%

NO · 85/90

SP TRE PENNE OR DRAW

51%

NO · 80/85

SP TRE FIORI OR DRAW

57%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

SP TRE PENNExSP TRE FIORI

5GAMES52.20SCORED A GAME3.000.40CONCEDED A GAME1.002.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.0100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%20%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

SP TRE PENNE 5 · 50%DRAW 2SP TRE FIORI 3 · 30%

5 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

7 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

5 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2022-10-02SP Tre Penne 2 – 1 SP Tre Fiori

2023-02-12SP Tre Penne 2 – 1 SP Tre Fiori

2024-01-06SP Tre Penne 0 – 3 SP Tre Fiori

2024-04-13SP Tre Penne 1 – 2 SP Tre Fiori

2024-10-25SP Tre Penne 1 – 1 SP Tre Fiori

2025-02-23SP Tre Penne 1 – 3 SP Tre Fiori

2025-03-05SP Tre Penne 1 – 0 SP Tre Fiori

2025-04-02SP Tre Penne 1 – 0 SP Tre Fiori

TRENDS

SP Tre Penne have scored in 80% of their games.

SP Tre Fiori have scored in 90% of their games.

SP Tre Penne kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

SP Tre Fiori kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards