AJACJ

20:15Fri 23 Oct

SSV

AC Juvenes/Dogana vs SS Virtus

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. Campionato Sammarinese, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 20:15 Lagos time.

What's at stake. AC Juvenes/Dogana are 10th on 3 points after 5 games, 3 points behind Domagnano, level on points with Cailungo. A win would take them level on points with Domagnano. SS Virtus are 3rd on 13 points after 5 games, 2 points behind Tre Penne, 1 point clear of Tre Fiori. A win would take them above Tre Penne.

Form. AC Juvenes/Dogana have won two, drawn none and lost four of their last six league games, 1.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L L L W. SS Virtus have won four, drawn one and lost none of their last five league games, 2.6 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W W W D.

The numbers. AC Juvenes/Dogana score 1.8 and concede 1.5 a game over their last six, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. AC Juvenes/Dogana average 11.0 shots (4.4 on target), 4.2 corners and 3.0 cards a game. SS Virtus score 2.2 and concede 0.4 a game over their last five, with four clean sheets. SS Virtus average 11.2 shots (3.6 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.4 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings AC Juvenes/Dogana have won none, drawn one and lost nine. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, one was drawn and SS Virtus won three. The last time they met, on 6 May 2026, it finished AC Juvenes/Dogana 0-2 SS Virtus.

The read. SS Virtus to win. A tight game. SS Virtus are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour SS Virtus; the meetings favour SS Virtus. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: AC Juvenes/Dogana 0-1 SS Virtus (10% chance).

The agreed story. SS Virtus or the draw, a tight game.

The league run. AC Juvenes/Dogana: lost their last two league games (L L L L W).

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

SS Virtus or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY

no price yet

SSV 4 of 5 (80%) · ACJ 4 of 5 (80%)81%

SS Virtus scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · AC Juvenes/Dogana trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues)

SS Virtus or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SSV 6 of 7 (86%) · ACJ 3 of 5 (60%)76.5%

SS Virtus: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AC Juvenes/Dogana: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 82% · H2H 6 of 6 · SS Virtus: only games against sides at AC Juvenes/Dogana's level · AC Juvenes/Dogana: only games against sides at SS Virtus's level

SS Virtus 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SSV 3 of 5 (60%) · ACJ 3 of 5 (60%)43.4%

SS Virtus scored first 2 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · AC Juvenes/Dogana trailed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues)

SS VIRTUS GOALS

SS Virtus Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SSV 6 of 7 (86%) · ACJ 4 of 5 (80%)57.6%

SS Virtus scored in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AC Juvenes/Dogana conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 82% · H2H 5 of 6 · SS Virtus: only games against sides at AC Juvenes/Dogana's level · AC Juvenes/Dogana: only games against sides at SS Virtus's level

HALVES

1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ACJ 4 of 5 (80%) · SSV 5 of 7 (71%)63.5%

AC Juvenes/Dogana: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · SS Virtus: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 2 of 6 · on half-time scores · AC Juvenes/Dogana: only games against sides at SS Virtus's level · SS Virtus: only games against sides at AC Juvenes/Dogana's level

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ACJ 3 of 5 (60%) · SSV 5 of 5 (100%)80%

AC Juvenes/Dogana's games: over 2.5 cards in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · SS Virtus's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%

Left off the list: Under 3.5 Goals (SS Virtus are a clear winner - no Unders); SS Virtus or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (SS Virtus are a clear winner - no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); SS Virtus or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (SS Virtus are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 9.5%

AC Juvenes/Dogana goals →

SS Virtus goals ↓

0-08%

1-08%

2-05%

3-02%

4-00.6%

5-00.2%

0-110%

1-113%

2-17%

3-13%

4-10.9%

5-10.2%

0-27%

1-29%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.6%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-34%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-41%

1-41%

2-40.9%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.3%

1-50.4%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

AC JUVENES/DOGANAWDDLWLLLLL0.80 PPG

SS VIRTUSLWLWDWWWWW2.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AC JUVENES/DOGANA HOMExSS VIRTUS AWAY

1.30SCORED A GAME1.901.40CONCEDED A GAME0.8020%CLEAN SHEETS60%40%FAILED TO SCORE20%4.20CORNERS A GAME5.003.00CARDS A GAME2.40

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

SS VIRTUS TO SCORE

–

136 OF 144

PRICE NOT KEPT

The tips call a clear winner in a league averaging 2.9+ goals a game.

DRAW OR SS VIRTUS (1UP)

–

137 OF 146

PRICE NOT KEPT

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

63%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

43%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

90%

OKAY · 85/90

AC JUVENES/DOGANA OR DRAW

34%

NO · 80/85

SS VIRTUS OR DRAW

72%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

AC JUVENES/DOGANA 0 · 0%DRAW 1SS VIRTUS 9 · 90%

3 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

7 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

4 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2022-10-09AC Juvenes/Dogana 1 – 3 SS Virtus

2023-02-19AC Juvenes/Dogana 0 – 1 SS Virtus

2023-09-30AC Juvenes/Dogana 1 – 2 SS Virtus

2024-01-28AC Juvenes/Dogana 1 – 2 SS Virtus

2024-09-20AC Juvenes/Dogana 0 – 1 SS Virtus

2025-01-25AC Juvenes/Dogana 0 – 2 SS Virtus

2025-11-08AC Juvenes/Dogana 0 – 3 SS Virtus

2026-03-08AC Juvenes/Dogana 0 – 2 SS Virtus

TRENDS

AC Juvenes/Dogana have scored in 60% of their games.

SS Virtus have scored in 90% of their games.

AC Juvenes/Dogana kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

SS Virtus kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards