Match details. Superliga. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. Pakhtakor have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W D. FK Neftchi Fargona have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D W.
The numbers. Pakhtakor score 1.5 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Pakhtakor average 4.9 corners and 1.5 cards a game. FK Neftchi Fargona score 1.9 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. FK Neftchi Fargona average 7.1 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Pakhtakor 1-1 FK Neftchi Fargona (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).