Match details. 2. Liga, Division A, Fall Season Gold - 15. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Respublikanskij Stadion Spartak, Vladikavkaz.
What's at stake. FC Alania Vladikavkaz are 4th on 19 points after 14 games, 1 point behind Novosibirsk, 2 points clear of Dinamo Vladivostok. A win would take them above Novosibirsk. FC Kaluga are 9th on 10 points after 14 games, 4 points behind Volgar Astrakhan, level on points with FK Sokol Saratov.
Form. FC Alania Vladikavkaz have won three, drawn six and lost one of their last ten league games, 1.5 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D W W D L. In this competition FC Alania Vladikavkaz have gone D W W D L D. FC Kaluga have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten league games, 0.8 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W D L L L. In this competition FC Kaluga have gone W D L L L D.
The numbers. FC Alania Vladikavkaz score 1.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC Alania Vladikavkaz average 4.6 corners and 2.0 cards a game. FC Kaluga score 1.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC Kaluga average 3.8 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 30 Aug 2026, it finished FC Alania Vladikavkaz 1-1 FC Kaluga.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 70% against the records' 38%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 37%.
The read. No firm call: FC Alania Vladikavkaz are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make FC Alania Vladikavkaz the likelier winners; FC Alania Vladikavkaz are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. No best bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: FC Alania Vladikavkaz 1-1 FC Kaluga (13% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (FC Alania Vladikavkaz the favourite), goals in between.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).