Match details. 2. Liga, Division A. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
Form. FC Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk have won one, drawn seven and lost two of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D D D. Dynamo Vladivostok have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D L.
The numbers. FC Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk score one and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk average 4.7 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Dynamo Vladivostok score 1.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Dynamo Vladivostok average 6.0 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 38% against the records' 65%.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 30%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.20, rated 87% (FC Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Dynamo Vladivostok: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Predicted score: FC Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk 1-1 Dynamo Vladivostok (14% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Dynamo Vladivostok the favourite), a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).