FC Sokol Saratov vs Rodina-2
Match details. 2. Liga, Division A. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. FC Sokol Saratov have won none, drawn six and lost four of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D L. Rodina-2 have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L W.
The numbers. FC Sokol Saratov score one and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. FC Sokol Saratov average 3.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Rodina-2 score 2.2 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Rodina-2 average 4.8 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 79% against the records' 57%.
The read. No firm call: Rodina-2 are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Rodina-2 the likelier winners; Rodina-2 are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Rodina-2. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: FC Sokol Saratov 1-2 Rodina-2 (10% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Rodina-2 the favourite), an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).