Match details. 2. Liga, Division A. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. Dinamo Kirov have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D W. FC Sibir Novosibirsk have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W W.
The numbers. Dinamo Kirov score 1.5 and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Dinamo Kirov average 5.3 corners and 2.0 cards a game. FC Sibir Novosibirsk score 1.4 and concede one a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. FC Sibir Novosibirsk average 2.8 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No best bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Dinamo Kirov 1-1 FC Sibir Novosibirsk (14% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Dinamo Kirov the favourite), goals in between.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).