Mount Pleasant FC vs Club Sando
Match details. CONCACAF Caribbean Cup. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time.
Form. Mount Pleasant FC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W L W. Club Sando have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W W.
The numbers. Mount Pleasant FC score 1.1 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Mount Pleasant FC average 11.2 shots (5.0 on target), 3.8 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Club Sando score two and concede 0.2 a game in their last five away, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Club Sando average 8.4 shots (3.2 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 16% against the records' 43%.
The read. No firm call: Club Sando are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Club Sando the likelier winners; Club Sando are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.27, 82% on the records (Mount Pleasant FC: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10; Club Sando: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: Under 1.5 first-half goals at 1.38. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Mount Pleasant FC 0-1 Club Sando (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).