Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 5 - 8. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. RSD Alcala SAD are 11th on 8 points after 7 games, level on points with Atlético Tordesillas, level on points with Guadalajara. A win would take them above Atlético Tordesillas. UD San Sebastian Reyes are 5th on 13 points after 7 games, level on points with Numancia, level on points with Salamanca UDS. A win would take them above Numancia.
Form. RSD Alcala SAD have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L W. UD San Sebastian Reyes have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L D.
The numbers. RSD Alcala SAD score 2.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. RSD Alcala SAD average 10.4 shots (4.4 on target), 4.8 corners and 3.1 cards a game. UD San Sebastian Reyes score 1.3 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. UD San Sebastian Reyes average 6.4 shots (2.4 on target), 5.3 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings RSD Alcala SAD have won none, drawn one and lost one. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 18 Jan 2026, it finished RSD Alcala SAD 1-1 UD San Sebastian Reyes.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: UD San Sebastian Reyes or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); UD San Sebastian Reyes or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); UD San Sebastian Reyes or Draw (1UP) (no result call). Predicted score: RSD Alcala SAD 1-1 UD San Sebastian Reyes (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).