CD Numancia vs CDA Navalcarnero

Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 5 - 8. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. CD Numancia are 4th on 13 points after 7 games, level on points with Real Valladolid II, level on points with SS Reyes. A win would take them above Real Valladolid II. CDA Navalcarnero are 9th on 9 points after 7 games, level on points with Gimnástica Segoviana, 1 point clear of Atlético Tordesillas. A win would take them above Gimnástica Segoviana.

Form. CD Numancia have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D W D. CDA Navalcarnero have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D W W.

The numbers. CD Numancia score 0.8 and concede 0.2 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. CD Numancia average 10.5 shots (4.5 on target), 4.2 corners and 3.2 cards a game. CDA Navalcarnero score two and concede one a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. CDA Navalcarnero average 9.9 shots (3.9 on target), 5.7 corners and 2.1 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last two meetings CD Numancia have won one, drawn one and lost none. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 25 Feb 2024, it finished CD Numancia 1-1 CDA Navalcarnero.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 64% against the records' 35%.

The read. No firm call: CD Numancia are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CD Numancia the likelier winners; CD Numancia are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CD Numancia 1-0 CDA Navalcarnero (12% chance).