Wellington United Diamonds vs Waterside Karori
Match details. National League, Women. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 07:30 Lagos time.
Form. Wellington United Diamonds have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W. Waterside Karori have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L.
The numbers. Wellington United Diamonds score 3.2 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. Waterside Karori score 1.3 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal.
The case against. Waterside Karori's record still gives them 25% to win.
The read. Wellington United Diamonds to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Wellington United Diamonds the likelier winners; Wellington United Diamonds are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Wellington United Diamonds. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 69%.
The bets. Best bet: Wellington United Diamonds or Draw at 1.13, rated 75% (Wellington United Diamonds unbeaten in 5 of 6 at home; Waterside Karori failed to win 4 of 6 away). Predicted score: Wellington United Diamonds 2-1 Waterside Karori (10% chance).
The agreed story. Wellington United Diamonds or the draw, an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).