Match details. Ligue 1, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time. It is played at 7 March Stadium, Ben Guerdane.
What's at stake. US Ben Guerdane are 1st on 14 points after 6 games, 2 points clear of ES Tunis. Stade Tunisien are 10th on 7 points after 4 games, 1 point behind AS Marsa, level on points with ES Sahel. A win would take them above AS Marsa.
Form. US Ben Guerdane have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D D. Stade Tunisien have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D W.
The numbers. US Ben Guerdane score 0.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. US Ben Guerdane average 5.6 shots (2.1 on target), 1.7 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Stade Tunisien score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Stade Tunisien average 10.8 shots (4.9 on target), 3.2 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings US Ben Guerdane have won two, drawn six and lost two. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, US Ben Guerdane won one, two were drawn and Stade Tunisien won one. The last time they met, on 8 May 2026, it finished US Ben Guerdane 0-0 Stade Tunisien.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: US Ben Guerdane or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); US Ben Guerdane or Draw (1UP) (no result call); US Ben Guerdane (Draw No Bet) (no result call). Predicted score: US Ben Guerdane 1-1 Stade Tunisien (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).