Match details. Ligue 1, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stade 15 Octobre, Bizerte.
What's at stake. CA Bizertin are 8th on 8 points after 5 games, level on points with CS Sfaxien, level on points with AS Marsa. A win would take them above CS Sfaxien. ES Hammam Sousse are 16th on 1 point after 6 games, 1 point behind Olympique Béja. A win would take them above Olympique Béja.
Form. CA Bizertin have won two, drawn two and lost one of their last five, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W W. ES Hammam Sousse have won none, drawn one and lost five of their last six, 0.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L.
The numbers. CA Bizertin score 0.6 and concede 0.6 a game over their last five, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. CA Bizertin average 12.3 shots (4.7 on target), 6.7 corners and 2.1 cards a game. ES Hammam Sousse score 0.2 and concede 1.5 a game over their last six, with one clean sheet and five games without a goal. ES Hammam Sousse average 6.6 shots (3.9 on target), 3.3 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings CA Bizertin have won three, drawn three and lost two. Four of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, CA Bizertin won one, two were drawn and ES Hammam Sousse won one. The last time they met, on 27 May 2023, it finished CA Bizertin 0-1 ES Hammam Sousse.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 15%.
The read. CA Bizertin to win. Their goals for and against make CA Bizertin the likelier winners; CA Bizertin are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CA Bizertin.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (CA Bizertin are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 0.5 first-half goals (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (CA Bizertin are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: CA Bizertin 2-0 ES Hammam Sousse (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).