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FC Motagua Tegucigalpa vs Liga Deportiva Alajuelense

CLASS D
THE READ

Match details. CONCACAF Central American Cup, Semi-finals. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 02:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Nacional Chelato Ucles, Tegucigalpa.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. FC Motagua Tegucigalpa have won three, drawn three and lost none of their last six, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D D W. Liga Deportiva Alajuelense have won four, drawn one and lost one of their last six, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L W.

The numbers. FC Motagua Tegucigalpa score 1.8 and concede 0.3 a game over their last six, with four clean sheets. Liga Deportiva Alajuelense score two and concede one a game over their last six, with one clean sheet.

Head to head. In the last three meetings FC Motagua Tegucigalpa have won one, drawn none and lost two. Two of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 1 Oct 2025, it finished FC Motagua Tegucigalpa 1-2 Liga Deportiva Alajuelense.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%; two of the last three meetings went over 2.5.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: FC Motagua Tegucigalpa 1-1 Liga Deportiva Alajuelense (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCM 6 of 6 (100%) · LIG 6 of 6 (100%)95.2%
FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Liga Deportiva Alajuelense: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 2 of 3
Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.37
FCM 4 of 6 (67%) · LIG 4 of 6 (67%)66.7%
FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Liga Deportiva Alajuelense: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · H2H 2 of 3
FC MOTAGUA TEGUCIGALPA GOALS
FC Motagua Tegucigalpa Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.28
FCM 5 of 6 (83%) · LIG 5 of 6 (83%)85.7%
FC Motagua Tegucigalpa scored in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Liga Deportiva Alajuelense conceded in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 3 of 3
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.5%
FC Motagua Tegucigalpa goals →
Liga Deportiva… goals ↓
0-09%
1-011%
2-08%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.7%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 6
FC MOTAGUA TEGUCIGALPAWWDDWD2.00 PPG
LIGA DEPORTIVA ALAJUELENSEWWLWDW2.17 PPG
THE NUMBERS
FC MOTAGUA TEGUCIGALPA HOMExLIGA DEPORTIVA ALAJUELENSE AWAY
1.83SCORED A GAME2.000.33CONCEDED A GAME1.0067%CLEAN SHEETS17%17%FAILED TO SCORE17%
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
2.00POINTS A GAME1.12+0.88GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.12–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.72.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.68LEAGUE GAMES8
FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
86%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
58%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
96%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
FC MOTAGUA TEGUCIGALPA OR DRAW
75%
NO · 80/85
LIGA DEPORTIVA ALAJUELENSE OR DRAW
50%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
FC MOTAGUA TEGUCIGALPAxLIGA DEPORTIVA ALAJUELENSE
5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME2.200.60CONCEDED A GAME1.401.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.660%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%40%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 3
FC MOTAGUA TEGUCIGALPA 1 · 33%DRAW 0LIGA DEPORTIVA ALAJUELENSE 2 · 67%
2 of 3BOTH TEAMS SCORED
2 of 3OVER 1.5 GOALS
2 of 3OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 3OVER 3.5 GOALS
2023-09-01FC Motagua Tegucigalpa 1 – 5 Liga Deportiva Alajuelense
2025-09-24FC Motagua Tegucigalpa 1 – 0 Liga Deportiva Alajuelense
2025-10-01FC Motagua Tegucigalpa 1 – 2 Liga Deportiva Alajuelense
TRENDS
FC Motagua Tegucigalpa failed to score in 17% of their games.
Liga Deportiva Alajuelense failed to score in 17% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to head
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