FTFCT

12:00Sun 25 Oct

ISK

FC Tver vs Iskra Smolensk

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. 2. Liga, Division B, Group 2. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.

Form. FC Tver have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W W. Iskra Smolensk have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W W.

The numbers. FC Tver score 1.6 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. FC Tver average 4.3 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Iskra Smolensk score one and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Iskra Smolensk average 1.4 corners and 1.8 cards a game.

The case against. Iskra Smolensk's record still gives them 22% to win.

The read. FC Tver to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make FC Tver the likelier winners; FC Tver are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Tver. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); FC Tver or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); FC Tver Over 1.5 Goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: FC Tver 1-0 Iskra Smolensk (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

FC Tver or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCT 5 of 5 (100%) · ISK 4 of 5 (80%)88.3%

FC Tver: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Iskra Smolensk: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · FC Tver: only games against sides at Iskra Smolensk's level · Iskra Smolensk: only games against sides at FC Tver's level

FC Tver to WinLEANPAGE ONLY

1.27

FCT 4 of 5 (80%) · ISK 3 of 5 (60%)63.3%

FC Tver won 4 of 5 at home · Iskra Smolensk lost 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 50% · FC Tver: only games against sides at Iskra Smolensk's level · Iskra Smolensk: only games against sides at FC Tver's level

FC Tver or Draw & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCT 4 of 5 (80%) · ISK 2 of 5 (40%)60%

FC Tver: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Iskra Smolensk: the bet landed in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · FC Tver: only games against sides at Iskra Smolensk's level · Iskra Smolensk: only games against sides at FC Tver's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCT 5 of 5 (100%) · ISK 5 of 5 (100%)98.3%

FC Tver: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Iskra Smolensk: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · FC Tver: only games against sides at Iskra Smolensk's level · Iskra Smolensk: only games against sides at FC Tver's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCT 5 of 5 (100%) · ISK 4 of 5 (80%)86.7%

FC Tver: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Iskra Smolensk: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · FC Tver: only games against sides at Iskra Smolensk's level · Iskra Smolensk: only games against sides at FC Tver's level

FC TVER GOALS

FC Tver Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCT 5 of 5 (100%) · ISK 4 of 5 (80%)88.3%

FC Tver scored in 5 of 5 at home · Iskra Smolensk conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · FC Tver: only games against sides at Iskra Smolensk's level · Iskra Smolensk: only games against sides at FC Tver's level

Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); FC Tver or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); FC Tver Over 1.5 Goals (the numbers (48%) and the records (57%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Iskra Smolensk Over 0.5 Goals (FC Tver's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); FC Tver or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 12.5%

FC Tver goals →

Iskra Smolensk goals ↓

0-09%

1-012%

2-011%

3-06%

4-02%

5-00.8%

0-16%

1-112%

2-110%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.7%

0-23%

1-25%

2-24%

3-22%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-30.9%

1-32%

2-31%

3-30.7%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.2%

1-40.3%

2-40.3%

3-40.1%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.1%

2-50.0%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

FC TVERDWWWWDDLWL1.80 PPG

ISKRA SMOLENSKLLWWWDLLLD1.10 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FC TVER HOMExISKRA SMOLENSK AWAY

1.64SCORED A GAME1.001.44CONCEDED A GAME2.0450%BOTH SCORED60%40%CLEAN SHEETS10%4.33CORNERS A GAME1.382.67CARDS A GAME1.75

TRENDS

FC Tver have scored in 80% of their games.

Iskra Smolensk have scored in 70% of their games.

FC Tver kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Iskra Smolensk kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards