Match details. A Liga, Women. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. Broendby IF have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W W. FC Midtjylland have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L L.
The numbers. Broendby IF score 3.2 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Broendby IF average 3.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. FC Midtjylland score 0.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal.
The case against. FC Midtjylland's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. Broendby IF to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Broendby IF the likelier winners; Broendby IF are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Broendby IF. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%.
The bets. Best bet: Broendby IF or Draw at 1.13, 78% on the records (Broendby IF unbeaten in 6 of 7; FC Midtjylland failed to win 4 of 5 away). Leave: Broendby IF or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Broendby IF Over 1.5 Goals (FC Midtjylland's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Broendby IF 2-1 FC Midtjylland (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).