Match details. Torneo DIMAYOR, Clausura - 15. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 21:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Romelio Martinez, Barranquilla.
What's at stake. Barranquilla FC are 16th on 13 points after 14 games, 1 point behind Leones FC. A win would take them above Leones FC. Real Cartagena FC are 4th on 20 points after 14 games, 4 points behind Tigres FC, level on points with Quindio.
Form. Barranquilla FC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W D L. In this competition Barranquilla FC have gone L D W D L L. Real Cartagena FC have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D L D. In this competition Real Cartagena FC have gone W D D L D D.
The numbers. Barranquilla FC score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Barranquilla FC average 4.1 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Real Cartagena FC score two and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. Real Cartagena FC average 4.0 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Barranquilla FC have won two, drawn three and lost five. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Barranquilla FC won two, one was drawn and Real Cartagena FC won one. The last time they met, on 22 May 2026, it finished Barranquilla FC 1-2 Real Cartagena FC.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 68% against the records' 37%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The read. No firm call: Real Cartagena FC are the better side, but not at this price. Real Cartagena FC are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Real Cartagena FC.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Barranquilla FC Under 1.5 goals (Barranquilla FC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Barranquilla FC 1-1 Real Cartagena FC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).