ARAKT

10:00Thu 22 Oct

FCA

Aktobe Reserve vs FC Astana Reserve

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Pervaya Liga. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct, 10:00 Lagos time.

Form. Aktobe Reserve have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten league games, 0.7 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L D L L L. FC Astana Reserve have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten league games, 1.3 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L W D W.

The numbers. Aktobe Reserve score 1.4 and concede three a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. FC Astana Reserve score 0.6 and concede four a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Aktobe Reserve the likelier winners, but FC Astana Reserve are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Aktobe Reserve.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 82%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Aktobe Reserve 2-1 FC Astana Reserve (9% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Aktobe Reserve the favourite), an open game.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

AKT 5 of 5 (100%) · FCA 5 of 5 (100%)97%

Aktobe Reserve: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · FC Astana Reserve: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Aktobe Reserve: only games against sides at FC Astana Reserve's level · FC Astana Reserve: only games against sides at Aktobe Reserve's level

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

AKT 4 of 5 (80%) · FCA 5 of 5 (100%)92.7%

Aktobe Reserve: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · FC Astana Reserve: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · Aktobe Reserve: only games against sides at FC Astana Reserve's level · FC Astana Reserve: only games against sides at Aktobe Reserve's level

Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

AKT 3 of 5 (60%) · FCA 5 of 5 (100%)82.7%

Aktobe Reserve: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · FC Astana Reserve: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · Aktobe Reserve: only games against sides at FC Astana Reserve's level · FC Astana Reserve: only games against sides at Aktobe Reserve's level

AKTOBE RESERVE GOALS

Aktobe Reserve Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

AKT 4 of 5 (80%) · FCA 5 of 5 (100%)88.3%

Aktobe Reserve scored in 4 of 5 at home · FC Astana Reserve conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · Aktobe Reserve: only games against sides at FC Astana Reserve's level · FC Astana Reserve: only games against sides at Aktobe Reserve's level

Left off the list: FC Astana Reserve or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); FC Astana Reserve Over 0.5 Goals (FC Astana Reserve's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); FC Astana Reserve (Draw No Bet) (no result call); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); FC Astana Reserve Over 1.5 Goals (FC Astana Reserve's own games don't back it (1 of 5)); FC Astana Reserve or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 8.6%

Aktobe Reserve goals →

FC Astana Reserve goals ↓

0-02%

1-04%

2-05%

3-04%

4-03%

5-01%

0-13%

1-18%

2-19%

3-17%

4-14%

5-12%

0-22%

1-26%

2-27%

3-25%

4-23%

5-22%

0-31%

1-33%

2-33%

3-33%

4-32%

5-30.8%

0-40.5%

1-41%

2-41%

3-41%

4-40.7%

5-40.3%

0-50.1%

1-50.4%

2-50.4%

3-50.3%

4-50.2%

5-50.1%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

AKTOBE RESERVELDLLLWWLLL0.70 PPG

FC ASTANA RESERVEWLWDWLLLLW1.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AKTOBE RESERVE HOMExFC ASTANA RESERVE AWAY

1.72SCORED A GAME1.963.00CONCEDED A GAME2.0080%BOTH SCORED40%10%CLEAN SHEETS20%

TRENDS

Aktobe Reserve have scored in 90% of their games.

FC Astana Reserve have scored in 60% of their games.

Aktobe Reserve kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

FC Astana Reserve kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague table