FK Naftagas Elemir vs FK Vozdovac Belgrade
Match details. Prva Liga, Regular Season - 15. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. FK Naftagas Elemir are 12th on 15 points after 14 games, 1 point behind FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV, 2 points clear of Teleoptik. A win would take them above FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV. FK Vozdovac Belgrade are 7th on 19 points after 14 games, 2 points behind Napredak, level on points with Loznica. A win would take them above Napredak.
Form. FK Naftagas Elemir have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W L. In this competition FK Naftagas Elemir have gone D D W W L D. FK Vozdovac Belgrade have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D W. In this competition FK Vozdovac Belgrade have gone D W L D W W.
The numbers. FK Naftagas Elemir score 1.2 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. FK Vozdovac Belgrade score 1.2 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal.
The case against. FK Vozdovac Belgrade's record still gives them 28% to win.
The read. FK Naftagas Elemir or the draw. A tight game. FK Vozdovac Belgrade are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 32%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FK Naftagas Elemir or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); FK Naftagas Elemir Over 0.5 Goals (FK Vozdovac Belgrade's own games don't back it (5 of 10)). Predicted score: FK Naftagas Elemir 1-1 FK Vozdovac Belgrade (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).