Vilnius Football Academy vs FK Utenos Utenis
Match details. II Lyga. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time.
Form. Vilnius Football Academy have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten league games, 2.1 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D W D W L. FK Utenos Utenis have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten league games, 1.6 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L D W W.
The numbers. Vilnius Football Academy score four and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Vilnius Football Academy average 6.9 corners and 1.9 cards a game. FK Utenos Utenis score 1.5 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. FK Utenos Utenis average 2.6 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 92% against the records' 57%.
The read. No firm call: Vilnius Football Academy are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Vilnius Football Academy the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Vilnius Football Academy. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Vilnius Football Academy 2-1 FK Utenos Utenis (9% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Vilnius Football Academy the favourite), an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).