Kazma SC vs Al Salibikhaet
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 15:35 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Kazma SC are 2nd on 11 points after 5 games, 2 points behind Al Kuwait, 2 points clear of Al Fahaheel. A win would take them above Al Kuwait. Al Salibikhaet are 11th on 3 points after 5 games, level on points with Al Arabi, 3 points clear of Al Tadhamon. A win would take them above Al Arabi.
Form. Kazma SC have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D W. Al Salibikhaet have won none, drawn six and lost four of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D D L.
The numbers. Kazma SC score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Kazma SC average 12.5 shots (5.1 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Al Salibikhaet score 0.8 and concede 2.8 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Al Salibikhaet average 7.1 shots (2.5 on target), 3.6 corners and 4.4 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Kazma SC have won four, drawn four and lost one. Two of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Kazma SC won two, one was drawn and Al Salibikhaet won one. The last time they met, on 17 Dec 2020, it finished Kazma SC 2-0 Al Salibikhaet.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 79% against the records' 48%.
The read. No firm call: Kazma SC are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Kazma SC the likelier winners; Kazma SC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Kazma SC; the meetings favour Kazma SC. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%. Seven of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.36, 72% on the records (Kazma SC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Al Salibikhaet: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5). The safer one: Al Salibikhaet Under 1.5 Goals at 1.09 (73%). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 2.5 Cards (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Kazma SC 1-1 Al Salibikhaet (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).