OLYOLY

15:00Sun 25 Oct

PAE

Olympiacos vs PAE PS Kalamata

CLASS B

THE READ

Match details. Super League, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus. The referee is Zampalas.

What's at stake. Olympiacos are 3rd on 16 points after 7 games, 1 point behind AEK Athens FC, 1 point clear of PAOK. A win would take them above AEK Athens FC. PAE PS Kalamata are 7th on 10 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Kifisia, level on points with OFI. A win would take them above Kifisia.

Form. Olympiacos have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. PAE PS Kalamata have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D W.

The numbers. Olympiacos score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Olympiacos average 15.8 shots (4.7 on target), 7.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 59% of the ball. PAE PS Kalamata score two and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. PAE PS Kalamata average 9.7 shots (4.4 on target), 2.9 corners and 3.8 cards a game, with 42% of the ball.

Head to head. Olympiacos have won all of the last two meetings. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 15 Jan 2020, it finished Olympiacos 4-1 PAE PS Kalamata.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 88% against the records' 51%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 29%.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 29%.

The read. No firm call: Olympiacos are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Olympiacos the likelier winners; Olympiacos are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Olympiacos. Their goals for and against point to an open game.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Olympiacos are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Olympiacos are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Olympiacos 2-1 PAE PS Kalamata (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Olympiacos or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

OLY 4 of 5 (80%) · PAE 7 of 7 (100%)87.5%

Olympiacos: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · PAE PS Kalamata: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Olympiacos: only games against sides at PAE PS Kalamata's level · PAE PS Kalamata: only games against sides at Olympiacos's level

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.17

OLY 4 of 5 (80%) · PAE 6 of 7 (86%)82.9%

Olympiacos: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · PAE PS Kalamata: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · on half-time scores · Olympiacos: only games against sides at PAE PS Kalamata's level · PAE PS Kalamata: only games against sides at Olympiacos's level

CORNERS

Over 7.5 CornersPAGE ONLY

no price yet

OLY 5 of 5 (100%) · PAE 5 of 7 (71%)85.7%

Olympiacos's games: over 7.5 corners in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · PAE PS Kalamata's games: over 7.5 corners in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · Olympiacos: only games against sides at PAE PS Kalamata's level · PAE PS Kalamata: only games against sides at Olympiacos's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

OLY 3 of 5 (60%) · PAE 7 of 7 (100%)80%

Olympiacos's games: over 3.5 cards in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · PAE PS Kalamata's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Olympiacos: only games against sides at PAE PS Kalamata's level · PAE PS Kalamata: only games against sides at Olympiacos's level

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (Olympiacos are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Olympiacos are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.8%

Olympiacos goals →

PAE PS Kalamata goals ↓

0-07%

1-012%

2-012%

3-08%

4-04%

5-01%

0-15%

1-111%

2-110%

3-16%

4-13%

5-11%

0-22%

1-24%

2-24%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.5%

0-30.6%

1-31%

2-31%

3-30.7%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.1%

1-40.2%

2-40.2%

3-40.1%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.0%

2-50.0%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

OLYMPIACOSWDWLWWWWWW2.50 PPG

PAE PS KALAMATAWLLDDWDLWW1.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

OLYMPIACOS HOMExPAE PS KALAMATA AWAY

1.60SCORED A GAME2.000.50CONCEDED A GAME1.7060%CLEAN SHEETS0%14%FAILED TO SCORE29%7.20CORNERS A GAME2.901.80CARDS A GAME3.801.76xG1.490.65xG AGAINST1.59

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

649 OF 684

NO PRICE YET

The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

2.17POINTS A GAME2.00+0.50GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.80+3.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.02.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.06LEAGUE GAMES5

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

44%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

24%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

93%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

OLYMPIACOS OR DRAW

61%

NO · 80/85

PAE PS KALAMATA OR DRAW

63%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

OLYMPIACOSxPAE PS KALAMATA

5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME2.200.40CONCEDED A GAME1.401.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.620%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%0%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%20%BOTH SCORE80%6.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.210.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.6

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

OLYMPIACOS 2 · 100%DRAW 0PAE PS KALAMATA 0 · 0%

2020-01-08Olympiacos 2 – 0 PAE PS Kalamata

2020-01-15Olympiacos 4 – 1 PAE PS Kalamata

TRENDS

Olympiacos have scored in 90% of their games.

PAE PS Kalamata have scored in 80% of their games.

Olympiacos kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

PAE PS Kalamata kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards