Alkmaar vs FC Twente Enschede
Match details. Eredivisie, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at AFAS Stadion（Alkmaar）. The referee is Alex Bos.
What's at stake. Alkmaar are 2nd on 20 points after 9 games, 4 points behind Feyenoord, level on points with PSV Eindhoven. FC Twente Enschede are 6th on 17 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Fortuna Sittard, 2 points clear of Heerenveen. A win would take them above Fortuna Sittard.
Team news. Alkmaar are without J. Hornkamp (injury), S. Resink (knee injury), K. Smit (injury), J. Clasie (knock), J. Hornkamp (injury), S. Resink (knee injury). FC Twente Enschede are without M. Bruns (inactive), S. Lemkin (muscle injury), F. Thorvaldsen (inactive), L. Unnerstall (inactive), M. Bruns (inactive), S. Lemkin (muscle injury). L. Unnerstall is their first-choice keeper.
Form. Alkmaar have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L W. FC Twente Enschede have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D W.
The numbers. Alkmaar score two and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Alkmaar average 13.9 shots (6.3 on target), 7.0 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 60% of the ball. FC Twente Enschede score 2.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. FC Twente Enschede average 17.7 shots (7.2 on target), 7.1 corners and 1.1 cards a game, with 59% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Alkmaar have won four, drawn two and lost three. Six of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Alkmaar won two, one was drawn and FC Twente Enschede won one. The last time they met, on 3 May 2026, it finished Alkmaar 2-2 FC Twente Enschede: Alkmaar had 18 shots to 9, 58% of the ball.
The case against. FC Twente Enschede's record still gives them 31% to win.
The read. Alkmaar to win. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%. Six of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.15, 76% on the records (Alkmaar: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7; FC Twente Enschede: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.15. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Alkmaar are a clear winner, no Unders); Alkmaar Over 1.5 goals (FC Twente Enschede's own games don't back it (3 of 7)); Alkmaar or draw and both teams score (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Alkmaar 2-1 FC Twente Enschede (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).