SE Palmeiras SP vs Red Bull Bragantino SP
Match details. Brasileiro Serie A, Regular Season - 32. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 22:30 Lagos time. It is played at Nubank Parque, Sao Paulo. The referee is Braulio da Silva Machado.
What's at stake. SE Palmeiras SP are 2nd on 66 points after 31 games, 1 point behind Flamengo, 12 points clear of Cruzeiro. A win would take them above Flamengo. Red Bull Bragantino SP are 10th on 41 points after 31 games, 1 point behind Sao Paulo, 2 points clear of Botafogo. A win would take them above Sao Paulo.
Team news. SE Palmeiras SP are without Andreas Pereira (red card), Jefte (knee injury), J. Piquerez (yellow cards), Vitor Roque (inactive), Andreas Pereira (red card), Jefte (knee injury). Red Bull Bragantino SP are without Davi Gomes (knee injury), Eric Ramires (yellow cards), H. Mosquera (inactive), Rodriguinho (inactive), Davi Gomes (knee injury), Eric Ramires (yellow cards).
Form. SE Palmeiras SP have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W. In this competition SE Palmeiras SP have gone W W W D W D. Red Bull Bragantino SP have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D L L. In this competition Red Bull Bragantino SP have gone D W D L L D.
The numbers. SE Palmeiras SP score 2.2 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. SE Palmeiras SP average 18.4 shots (6.5 on target), 6.4 corners and 3.2 cards a game, with 55% of the ball. Red Bull Bragantino SP score 0.8 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets. Red Bull Bragantino SP average 19.1 shots (7.2 on target), 7.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings SE Palmeiras SP have won six, drawn three and lost one. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, SE Palmeiras SP won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 26 Apr 2026, it finished SE Palmeiras SP 1-0 Red Bull Bragantino SP: SE Palmeiras SP had 6 shots to 19, 39% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%; six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%. Not everything agrees on goals: six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The read. SE Palmeiras SP to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make SE Palmeiras SP the likelier winners; SE Palmeiras SP are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour SE Palmeiras SP; the meetings favour SE Palmeiras SP. Their goals for and against point to an open game.
The bets. Best bet: SE Palmeiras SP or Draw at 1.15, 78% on the records (SE Palmeiras SP unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home; Red Bull Bragantino SP failed to win 6 of 6 away). Backup: SE Palmeiras SP or Both Teams Score at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (SE Palmeiras SP are a clear winner, no Unders); SE Palmeiras SP Over 1.5 goals (Red Bull Bragantino SP's own games don't back it (2 of 6)); Under 5.5 Goals (SE Palmeiras SP are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: SE Palmeiras SP 2-1 Red Bull Bragantino SP (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).