CR Vasco da Gama RJ vs SC Corinthians SP
Match details. Brasileiro Serie A, Regular Season - 32. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 22:30 Lagos time. It is played at São Januário, Rio de Janeiro. The referee is Wilton Sampaio.
What's at stake. CR Vasco da Gama RJ are 15th on 35 points after 30 games, 1 point behind Mirassol, 2 points clear of Corinthians. A win would take them above Mirassol. SC Corinthians SP are 16th on 33 points after 31 games, 2 points behind Vasco DA Gama, 1 point clear of Internacional. A win would take them above Vasco DA Gama.
Team news. CR Vasco da Gama RJ are without Cauan Barros (inactive), C. Cuesta (inactive), Mateus Carvalho (knee injury), Cauan Barros (inactive), C. Cuesta (inactive), Mateus Carvalho (knee injury). SC Corinthians SP are without Kayke (knee injury), Z. Labyad (knee injury), Raniele (inactive), Kayke (knee injury), Z. Labyad (knee injury), Raniele (inactive).
Form. CR Vasco da Gama RJ have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W W. In this competition CR Vasco da Gama RJ have gone L D W W W L. SC Corinthians SP have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L L. In this competition SC Corinthians SP have gone D L L L L L.
The numbers. CR Vasco da Gama RJ score 1.3 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and five games without a goal. CR Vasco da Gama RJ average 17.9 shots (6.0 on target), 7.6 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 54% of the ball. SC Corinthians SP score 1.2 and concede two a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. SC Corinthians SP average 16.0 shots (4.4 on target), 7.8 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 58% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings CR Vasco da Gama RJ have won one, drawn two and lost seven. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, one was drawn and SC Corinthians SP won three. The last time they met, on 26 Apr 2026, it finished CR Vasco da Gama RJ 0-1 SC Corinthians SP: CR Vasco da Gama RJ had 21 shots to 13, 60% of the ball, six yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: CR Vasco da Gama RJ are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour CR Vasco da Gama RJ; the meetings favour SC Corinthians SP. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. SC Corinthians SP's record still gives them 42% to win. The meetings do not back them. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. CR Vasco da Gama RJ or the draw. An open game. CR Vasco da Gama RJ are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CR Vasco da Gama RJ; the meetings favour SC Corinthians SP. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: CR Vasco da Gama RJ Over 0.5 goals (CR Vasco da Gama RJ's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: CR Vasco da Gama RJ 2-1 SC Corinthians SP (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).