BRAZIL - BRASILEIRO SERIE A
20:30Sat 24 Oct
SAO
SP
Mirassol FC SP vs Sao Paulo FC SP
CLASS B
THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
82
TOTAL GOALS
Class B
Under 3.5 Goals
Mirassol FC SP v Sao Paulo FC SP
1.29odds
78%book
+4edge
2/2angles
THE READ
Match details. Brasileiro Serie A. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 20:30 Lagos time.
Form. Mirassol FC SP have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W D. Sao Paulo FC SP have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L W.
The numbers. Mirassol FC SP score 1.1 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Mirassol FC SP average 5.2 corners and 2.6 cards a game. Sao Paulo FC SP score one and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Sao Paulo FC SP average 6.7 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
The case against. Sao Paulo FC SP's record still gives them 42% to win.
The read. Mirassol FC SP or the draw. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 30%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.29, 76% on the records (Mirassol FC SP: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 9; Sao Paulo FC SP: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 8). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.10. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Mirassol FC SP 1-1 Sao Paulo FC SP (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Mirassol FC SP or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.23
MIR 8 of 9 (89%) · SAO 6 of 8 (75%)84.7%
Mirassol FC SP: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Sao Paulo FC SP: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · Mirassol FC SP: only games against sides at Sao Paulo FC SP's level · Sao Paulo FC SP: only games against sides at Mirassol FC SP's level
Mirassol FC SP (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY
1.59
MIR 3 of 5 (60%) · SAO 3 of 8 (38%)80.3%
Mirassol FC SP won 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Sao Paulo FC SP lost 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 49% · Mirassol FC SP: only games against sides at Sao Paulo FC SP's level · Sao Paulo FC SP: only games against sides at Mirassol FC SP's level · won 5, refunded 2, lost 0
Mirassol FC SP or draw and under 3.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.76
MIR 6 of 9 (67%) · SAO 3 of 8 (38%)69.8%
Mirassol FC SP: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Sao Paulo FC SP: the bet landed in 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 52% · Mirassol FC SP: only games against sides at Sao Paulo FC SP's level · Sao Paulo FC SP: only games against sides at Mirassol FC SP's level
Mirassol FC SP or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.24
MIR 4 of 5 (80%) · SAO 7 of 9 (78%)65.1%
Mirassol FC SP scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Sao Paulo FC SP trailed or failed to win in 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Mirassol FC SP: only games against sides at Sao Paulo FC SP's level · Sao Paulo FC SP: only games against sides at Mirassol FC SP's level
Mirassol FC SP or draw and under 2.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
2.25
MIR 5 of 9 (56%) · SAO 2 of 8 (25%)51.4%
Mirassol FC SP: the bet landed in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Sao Paulo FC SP: the bet landed in 2 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 40% · Mirassol FC SP: only games against sides at Sao Paulo FC SP's level · Sao Paulo FC SP: only games against sides at Mirassol FC SP's level
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsBACKUPIN CODES
1.10
MIR 9 of 9 (100%) · SAO 8 of 8 (100%)94.5%
Mirassol FC SP: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Sao Paulo FC SP: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Mirassol FC SP: only games against sides at Sao Paulo FC SP's level · Sao Paulo FC SP: only games against sides at Mirassol FC SP's level
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.29
MIR 8 of 9 (89%) · SAO 8 of 8 (100%)81.6%
Mirassol FC SP: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Sao Paulo FC SP: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Mirassol FC SP: only games against sides at Sao Paulo FC SP's level · Sao Paulo FC SP: only games against sides at Mirassol FC SP's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.77
MIR 7 of 9 (78%) · SAO 5 of 8 (62%)58.4%
Mirassol FC SP: under 2.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Sao Paulo FC SP: under 2.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Mirassol FC SP: only games against sides at Sao Paulo FC SP's level · Sao Paulo FC SP: only games against sides at Mirassol FC SP's level
MIRASSOL FC SP GOALS
Mirassol FC SP Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.26
MIR 7 of 9 (78%) · SAO 5 of 8 (62%)75.3%
Mirassol FC SP scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Sao Paulo FC SP conceded in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Mirassol FC SP: only games against sides at Sao Paulo FC SP's level · Sao Paulo FC SP: only games against sides at Mirassol FC SP's level
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.4%
Mirassol FC SP goals →
Sao Paulo FC SP goals ↓
0-09%
1-011%
2-08%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.7%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
MIRASSOL FC SPWLDWDWLDDD1.40 PPG
SAO PAULO FC SPWWLLWDLLWW1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
MIRASSOL FC SP HOMExSAO PAULO FC SP AWAY
1.16SCORED A GAME1.161.42CONCEDED A GAME1.1330%CLEAN SHEETS30%5.23CORNERS A GAME6.742.61CARDS A GAME2.19
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.00POINTS A GAME1.44+0.57GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.11+4.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.22.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.87LEAGUE GAMES9
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
88%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
48%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
98%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
MIRASSOL FC SP OR DRAW
93%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
SAO PAULO FC SP OR DRAW
20%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
MIRASSOL FC SPxSAO PAULO FC SP
5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME1.000.80CONCEDED A GAME1.002.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.0100%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.6–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.4
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Mirassol FC SP have scored in 70% of their games.
Sao Paulo FC SP have scored in 70% of their games.
Mirassol FC SP kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Sao Paulo FC SP kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards