Match details. Brasileiro Serie A. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 20:30 Lagos time.
Form. EC Vitoria BA have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L D. CA Paranaense PR have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D W.
The numbers. EC Vitoria BA score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. EC Vitoria BA average 4.3 corners and 2.4 cards a game. CA Paranaense PR score 2.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. CA Paranaense PR average 5.3 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
The case against. EC Vitoria BA's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. CA Paranaense PR to win. An open game. CA Paranaense PR are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CA Paranaense PR. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 71%.
The bets. Best bet: CA Paranaense PR 1UP at 1.79, 70% on the records (CA Paranaense PR scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4; led in 4 of 5). Leave: CA Paranaense PR or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); EC Vitoria BA Under 1.5 goals (CA Paranaense PR's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); 1X2 - 2UP: CA Paranaense PR (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: EC Vitoria BA 1-2 CA Paranaense PR (8% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
CA Paranaense PR or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ECV 5 of 5 (100%) · CAP 7 of 8 (88%)93.8%
CA Paranaense PR: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · EC Vitoria BA: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · CA Paranaense PR: only games against sides at EC Vitoria BA's level · EC Vitoria BA: only games against sides at CA Paranaense PR's level
CA Paranaense PR or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.34
ECV 4 of 5 (80%) · CAP 4 of 5 (80%)78.3%
CA Paranaense PR scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · EC Vitoria BA trailed or failed to win in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CA Paranaense PR: only games against sides at EC Vitoria BA's level · EC Vitoria BA: only games against sides at CA Paranaense PR's level
CA Paranaense PR or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.49
ECV 4 of 5 (80%) · CAP 6 of 8 (75%)77.5%
CA Paranaense PR: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · EC Vitoria BA: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · CA Paranaense PR: only games against sides at EC Vitoria BA's level · EC Vitoria BA: only games against sides at CA Paranaense PR's level
CA Paranaense PR win or both teams scoreIN CODES
1.30
ECV 4 of 5 (80%) · CAP 6 of 8 (75%)77.5%
CA Paranaense PR: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · EC Vitoria BA: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · CA Paranaense PR: only games against sides at EC Vitoria BA's level · EC Vitoria BA: only games against sides at CA Paranaense PR's level
CA Paranaense PR 1UPMAININ CODES
1.75
ECV 4 of 5 (80%) · CAP 4 of 5 (80%)70%
CA Paranaense PR scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · EC Vitoria BA trailed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CA Paranaense PR: only games against sides at EC Vitoria BA's level · EC Vitoria BA: only games against sides at CA Paranaense PR's level
Double Chance: Draw or CA Paranaense PRLEANPAGE ONLY
1.47
ECV 4 of 5 (80%) · CAP 6 of 8 (75%)59.1%
CA Paranaense PR unbeaten in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · EC Vitoria BA failed to win 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · CA Paranaense PR: only games against sides at EC Vitoria BA's level · EC Vitoria BA: only games against sides at CA Paranaense PR's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.74
ECV 5 of 8 (62%) · CAP 4 of 5 (80%)56.4%
EC Vitoria BA: both scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CA Paranaense PR: both scored in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · EC Vitoria BA: only games against sides at CA Paranaense PR's level · CA Paranaense PR: only games against sides at EC Vitoria BA's level
CA PARANAENSE PR GOALS
CA Paranaense PR Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.30
ECV 4 of 5 (80%) · CAP 6 of 8 (75%)72.4%
CA Paranaense PR scored in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · EC Vitoria BA conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · CA Paranaense PR: only games against sides at EC Vitoria BA's level · EC Vitoria BA: only games against sides at CA Paranaense PR's level
Left off the list: CA Paranaense PR or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); EC Vitoria BA Under 1.5 goals (CA Paranaense PR's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); 1X2 - 2UP: CA Paranaense PR (the numbers (34%) and the records (57%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–27.7%
EC Vitoria BA goals →
CA Paranaense PR goals ↓
0-07%
1-09%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-25%
1-28%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.7%
1-41%
2-40.8%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
EC VITORIA BADLWLDWLLLL0.80 PPG
CA PARANAENSE PRWLWDWLWWWD2.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
EC VITORIA BA HOMExCA PARANAENSE PR AWAY
1.10SCORED A GAME1.581.45CONCEDED A GAME1.1950%BOTH SCORED60%20%CLEAN SHEETS20%4.32CORNERS A GAME5.322.35CARDS A GAME2.03
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
88%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
75%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
80%
NO · 85/90
EC VITORIA BA OR DRAW
58%
NO · 80/85
CA PARANAENSE PR OR DRAW
57%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
TRENDS
EC Vitoria BA have scored in 70% of their games.
CA Paranaense PR have scored in 80% of their games.
EC Vitoria BA kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
CA Paranaense PR kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards