FK Krasnodar vs FC Baltika Kaliningrad
Match details. Premier League. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time.
Form. FK Krasnodar have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D D. FC Baltika Kaliningrad have won two, drawn six and lost two of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D L D.
The numbers. FK Krasnodar score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. FK Krasnodar average 4.2 corners and 2.6 cards a game. FC Baltika Kaliningrad score 1.1 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and four games without a goal. FC Baltika Kaliningrad average 4.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 56% against the records' 29%.
The read. No firm call: FK Krasnodar are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make FK Krasnodar the likelier winners; FK Krasnodar are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.25, 74% on the records (FK Krasnodar: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 7; FC Baltika Kaliningrad: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 7). Backup: FK Krasnodar Over 0.5 Goals at 1.22. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: FK Krasnodar 1-0 FC Baltika Kaliningrad (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).