Shakhtar D vs FC Zorya Luhansk
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Arena Lviv.
What's at stake. Shakhtar D are 2nd on 24 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Polessya, 5 points clear of Dynamo Kyiv. A win would take them above Polessya. FC Zorya Luhansk are 7th on 14 points after 9 games, level on points with LNZ Cherkasy, 3 points clear of Kolos Kovalivka. A win would take them above LNZ Cherkasy.
Form. Shakhtar D have won eight, drawn none and lost one of their last nine, 2.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition Shakhtar D have gone W W W W W L. FC Zorya Luhansk have won four, drawn two and lost three of their last nine, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D D. In this competition FC Zorya Luhansk have gone W W L D D L.
The numbers. Shakhtar D score 2.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Shakhtar D average 13.0 shots (4.6 on target), 5.3 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 63% of the ball. FC Zorya Luhansk score 1.3 and concede 1.4 a game over their last nine, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. FC Zorya Luhansk average 9.5 shots (4.4 on target), 5.6 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Shakhtar D have won seven, drawn two and lost none. Six of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Shakhtar D won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 23 Apr 2026, it finished Shakhtar D 2-1 FC Zorya Luhansk.
The case against. FC Zorya Luhansk's record still gives them 23% to win.
The read. Shakhtar D to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Shakhtar D the likelier winners; Shakhtar D are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Shakhtar D; the meetings favour Shakhtar D. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%. Six of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Shakhtar D or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Shakhtar D Over 1.5 goals (FC Zorya Luhansk's own games don't back it (3 of 9)); Under 4.5 Goals (Shakhtar D are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Shakhtar D 3-0 FC Zorya Luhansk (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).