Match details. Allsvenskan, Regular Season - 25. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Nordic Wellness Arena, Gothenburg. The referee is Sars Joakim.
What's at stake. BK Hacken are 4th on 42 points after 24 games, 4 points behind Hammarby FF, level on points with IF Elfsborg. Degerfors IF are 14th on 20 points after 24 games, 2 points behind Kalmar FF, 2 points clear of Orgryte IS. A win would take them above Kalmar FF.
Team news. BK Hacken are without B. Engdahl (lower-body injury), F. Ohman (shoulder injury), B. Engdahl (lower-body injury), F. Ohman (shoulder injury). Degerfors IF are without J. Pikkarainen (knee injury), J. Pikkarainen (knee injury).
Form. BK Hacken have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D D. In this competition BK Hacken have gone W W W D D L. Degerfors IF have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L W. In this competition Degerfors IF have gone L D L L W L.
The numbers. BK Hacken score 1.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. BK Hacken average 18.4 shots (6.6 on target), 6.5 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. Degerfors IF score 0.5 and concede 1.7 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. Degerfors IF average 11.2 shots (3.6 on target), 5.4 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings BK Hacken have won three, drawn three and lost three. Five of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, two were drawn and Degerfors IF won two. The last time they met, on 2 May 2026, it finished BK Hacken 1-1 Degerfors IF: BK Hacken had 15 shots to 11, 51% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 72% against the records' 45%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 37%; five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The read. No firm call: BK Hacken are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make BK Hacken the likelier winners; BK Hacken are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. Best bet: BK Hacken or Draw at 1.10, 91% on the records (a proven pattern for games read like this one (team or draw)). Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (BK Hacken are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (BK Hacken are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: BK Hacken 2-0 Degerfors IF (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).