Almeria vs Real Oviedo
Match details. LaLiga 2, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at UD Almería Stadium, Almeria. The referee is German Cid Camacho.
What's at stake. Almeria are 1st on 24 points after 10 games, 1 point clear of Castellón. Real Oviedo are 9th on 17 points after 10 games, level on points with Burgos, 1 point clear of Sabadell. A win would take them above Burgos.
Form. Almeria have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition Almeria have gone W W W W W W. Real Oviedo have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W L. In this competition Real Oviedo have gone W W L W L W.
The numbers. Almeria score 2.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Almeria average 13.5 shots (5.0 on target), 3.5 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 54% of the ball. Real Oviedo score 1.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Real Oviedo average 14.5 shots (5.1 on target), 5.4 corners and 3.4 cards a game, with 44% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Almeria have won three, drawn four and lost three. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, two were drawn and Real Oviedo won two. The last time they met, on 11 Jun 2025, it finished Almeria 1-1 Real Oviedo: Almeria had 15 shots to 9, 60% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Almeria the likelier winners, but Almeria are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Almeria; the meetings favour Real Oviedo.
The case against. Real Oviedo's record still gives them 36% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. Almeria or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Almeria the likelier winners; Almeria are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Almeria; the meetings favour Real Oviedo. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Almeria Over 1.5 goals (Real Oviedo's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Almeria 2-1 Real Oviedo (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).